Russia is not winning the war in Ukraine — but Ukraine has not won yet either. In this short commentary, I analyze Ukraine's strategic successes in hitting Russian infrastructure and degrading its war capacity, while arguing that the West must stay committed to supporting Ukraine through to a genuine Russian defeat. Without that, Russia's imperial playbook — visible across Georgia, Transnistria, Syria, Mali, and beyond — will continue. I also reflect on the real possibility of Putin's regime collapsing, and why cautious optimism, grounded in sustained commitment, is the right stance.You
Erratic Attempts 